Everything posted by TrueBlue4ever
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3 stars + HH Heart stopping OT edition
Absolutely. Missed that in my write-up, but the genuine article would have called out that play as a classic happy honker winner. Most of the plays Cactus would cite often were those ones that happened in the middle of the game, would sometimes be forgotten, but at the end of the game when discussing things the fans could say "boy, in hindsight THAT turned out to be a big play". That is the essence of the Happy Honker, moreso than the game winning FG or TD. The stop on the fake punt and Langford running down Logan which us allowed us to get a turnover 2 plays later and avoid giving up points on that drive are the kind of "little things that are really big things" that he loved to highlight. However, in this case the athletic plays by Denmark and Randle, especially in the pressure of the moment, were too much to pass up.
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3 stars + HH Heart stopping OT edition
Well friends, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers marched into La Belle Province tonight trying to get to 7 wins by the halfway mark of the season for the first time since the halcyon days of Kahari Jones (editor's note, actually they were 7-1 back in 2011), and more importantly to keep pace with the leaders in the Western conference heading into the Labour Day weekend. And despite the temptations of St. Laurent street, which has led more than one young player astray in the wee hours of the morning, the Bombers showed no ill effects as they jumped out to a 10-0 lead before the teams switched sides for the first time. But as we have come to expect with this team, nothing comes easy for them, and close games that come down to the wire are as predictable for them as it is to hear Nick Hill saying "Come ooooon down" during our commercial breaks. So it was no surprise to see the Alouettes storm back and tie the game up with a last second field goal to send us into overtime all evened up. But a little extra football never hurt anyone, and the Bombers got the job done when they needed to, and it all turned out nice again. Now as is the custom after a game, I bestow the Happy Honker award on a player that in my mind is the most deserving of it. Now as you know, the Happy Honker ward does not usually go to the best player in the game, but is given to that player who did something just that little extra special, that made you stand up and take notice, that maybe made an impact on that one play. And for 60 minutes it looked like that player who was going to receive the Happy Honker Award was special teamer Ryan Langford, who ran down Stefan Logan when it looked like he was going to return kick all the way for a touchdown, which of course led to Maurice Leggett corralling a fumble 2 plays later and the All came away with nothing when it looked like they might get 7, and with the game going to overtime, those lost points certainly cost Montreal. But the game did not end after 60 minutes, and so the Happy Honker does not stop there. We got an extra game, 2 extra games in fact, and therefore this Happy Honker is all about 2. In the first extra session, on down number 2 at the opposition 10 yard line. Matt Nicholas hit Clarence Denmark, who 95% percent of people may want to get rid of when the Bombers sign Derel Walker, or so I have read, and Denmark made a great grab, changed hands with the ball, and stretched over the goal line falling down for touchdown number 2 on the night, and that was a touchdown the Bombers absolutely needed to keep their hopes alive in the end, so that is Happy Honker #1. But as I said, this Award is all about 2, so there is a second Happy Honker tonight. In overtime #2, Darian Durant threw a pass over the middle but failed to see Chris Randle cutting across the field, and Randle made a beautiful play to get interception #2 on the night, and all that was left was for Justin Medlock to kick yet another game winning field goal to send the Bomber fans off happily into the night, and with it 2 points for the Bombers in the standings. So my 2 Happy Honker Awards tonight go to Clarence Denmark and Chris Randle, for 2 big plays on 2 overtime drives that gave the Bombers 2 big points.
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CFL mid-season review, re-assessment
Yeah, Jennings as MOP was based on him using his legs and arm with that obscene receiving corps, but he has been uneven, and that injury will set him back a bit more. But if they do wind up in the crossover spot, would there be a more dangerous team, and more mercurial QB who could find that next level in the big game?
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CFL mid-season review, re-assessment
With teams hitting the 9 game mark, thought it might be a good time to review some pre-season predictions and re-assess them, and gaze into the crystal ball again with half a season of backing to shape those guesses. Included for your amusement/my shame are my pre-season prognostications. Will start with the 3 teams already at 9 for now, then do 4 more later after this week's games are played, and the final 2 after week 11. BC: What I said then - "Scary good offence this year with Chris Williams added to the receiving mix and three deadly return specialists. Jennings is the ridiculously early pick for league MOP. Could see a few 45-40 games from them. But Wally will have their defence prepared too. Bit of a gut pick but I say 13-5 and first." How did I do? - OK, so they still could go 8-1 and I hit my prediction, but I overshot on this pick a bit, and with 4 games against Calgary, Edmonton and the Bombers left in the second half, they will need to step up their game to finish first, especially having lost the series to the Esks (and the Riders, for that matter) already . The injury to Jennings has stalled their offence a bit (but only since his return). Did get that 45-40 score pretty much right, though, thanks to the Bomber game. Win they'll savour - that comeback win against the Blue and Gold keeps them in the mix in the wild West. Loss they'll lament - losing both to Edmonton hurts their chances at top spot, but the beatdown in Riderville is the kind of loss you can't afford if you want to run with the big dogs. They make the playoffs - if they sweep the Bombers or stay ahead of the Riders, and continue their dominance against the East, whom they have the majority of their remaining games against. They don't - if the Bombers sweep them and the Riders play more games like the second match vs the Lions Looking forward - I picked them to win the Grey Cup, and if the playoffs started today they would have the easiest road they could ask for, at least to get to the big game. Maybe 4th is preferable to 1st? Ottawa: What I said then - "I really like Trevor Harris at QB, and thought the team might have actually been better with him at QB if you took Henry Burris' shoulder chip out of the equation, but his offence around him has been dismantled a bit. And lest we forget they were a losing team last year going in to the playoffs who needed a blizzard to beat the Esks and stupid play-calling by Dave Dickenson (down by 3, 2nd and goal from the 1 with one minute left and you take out Bo Levi to run a 3rd string QB option and don't hand off to Messam???? That's worse than Pete Carroll) to win the Grey Cup. Regression. 8-10." How did I do? - better than their current record might suggest. They had the most brutal schedule you could ask for (3 games in 11 days, Calgary back-to-back to start, Eskies twice, and Bombers). West games make up 4 of their 6 losses, but a pair dropped to the Argos may keep them out of 1st. Still, Harris looks strong. Win they'll savour - The Als win was needed, the Cats win was necessary, but maybe the opening day tie against the Stamps is the one they hang their hats on to say "we can compete with the best, so let's get back to that level". Loss they'll lament - the first Argo loss at home (25 points given up in the second half after a 1 point defensive effort in the first, and blown convert and FG) set the template for all the close losses to follow. They make the playoffs - if they make hay against the East in the second half, the rest of the offence matches Harris' numbers, and the defence and kickimg especially improve. They don't - if they play the games against Montreal like they played against Hamilton. Looking forward - still a brutal schedule (byes in week 18 and 20, who OK'd this season's lineup of games?) but 6 games vs the East or Riders give them a reprieve. Still on pace for a losing record and second place standing. Toronto: What I said then - "Love the coaching and GM hire, but this will take time, and time is the one luxury they don't have in a market that has them ranked behind (in order) the Leafs, Jays, Raptors, NFL in general, the Bills in particular, Toronto FC, and quite possibly the Rock lacrosse team, not to mention any other cultural event like rock concerts. And Ricky Ray's first season magic is not there, even if he stays healthy. Let the annual gnashing of teeth begin about how the CFL will die without its flagship franchise being able to draw fans. 6-12." How did I do? - well, there current record would suggest much better than 6-12, they are on pace for first, not last, and in my biggest oops, Ricky Ray has definitely rediscovered his first year Argo magic and then some, even with an injury. But before I concede that I completely blew this pick, they still draw flies, they still have a sub-.500 record despite an East-heavy schedule, and read the "looking forward" section. Win they'll savour - the opening week dismantling of Hamilton set the tone for 2 franchises. Loss they'll lament - a lazy loss in Saskatchewan (looking at you, Johnny Sears) has kept them from pulling away in the East. They make the playoffs - becuase they hold off the RedBlacks, who they already have a pair of wins against and a 2.5 game cushion on, and because the Ticats suck. They don't - if the second half schedule turns out as badly as the first half East vs. West tendancies suggest it might. Looking forward - that schedule. 7 of 9 against the West, with 4 of those against the Alberta juggernaut, and maybe 6-12 isn't a pipe dream. Still could be good enough for tops in the East, though.
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3 stars plus HH broken esks streak edition
Ah, method acting.
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3 stars plus HH broken esks streak edition
OK, I did the whole "Cactus" rambling thing last year. Was not easy to crank out a wordy piece mainly because I wouldn't come on the boards until about 48 hours after a game (learned that is the best way to stay sane after a win, or especially after a loss, because the knee-jerk reactions inflamed by emotion were a bit much too take for me), and the spontaneity had passed, but I will not shy away from a challenge. I will skip this week since the moment has passed (BTW, Cactus would have picked Randle for that huge INT which led to the late TD in the first half - flipped the game) but will give it a go next week (hopefully promptly too). Remember that the HH is not the unsung hero or underrated performance, it is all about the "something special, a little extra" which basically is one play that stood out during the course of the game, maybe has impact, maybe did not, maybe was an example of the larger game as a whole. Example: last week, against Hamilton, Matt Nicholls throws a block when Harris reverses field, with 2 minutes left in the game and the Bombers up by 20!!! Totally unnecessary, pretty meaningless in the grand scale of the game, but what a moment to show how tight this team is and how much of a leader he is. That is happy honker worthy. So see you all next week. Hope I can rise to my own challenge (now to work on the Haiku - Johnzo is brilliant for getting that going too, between that and Odds and Sods, this place is gold for creative post-game commentary).
- bc thumped by SASKATCHEWAN
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Your CFL Haiku of the Game
Better late than never, week 7 haikus: BC - Offence already Embarrassment of riches Now add Chris Williams Cal - How to beat the Stamps: Game in Montreal after Night on St. Laurent Edm - Injury ravaged But winning. Still can't cheer 'cuz Your coach is a jerk. Sask - Lions' rout, Glenn out. A QB controversy? Hardly. Bridge sucks too. Wpg - Down late? No worries. Not with QB "Matty Ice" And Justin "the Lock". Tor - Have Trestman, not Ray. Despite a losing record Still best in the (L)east Ham - Horseshoes, hand grenades Forget moral victories You're still oh and six. Ott - Another close loss? You are what your record says: A bad Eastern team. Mtl - How bad is the East? Montreal has the bye, yet Gains ground on the rest.
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What does your dad do?...
I'd say I respectfully disagree, but I'm having a hard time respecting your comment. Read the article, Carter engaged with the fans before the game to show appreciation for their support of him, delivered the ball after his TD, and only because the mom requested it did he sign the ball and pose for a picture. This was not at all him looking for a photo op. The pictures were takem by the mom for her daughter and posted by the mom on her own social media account and it was picked up by 3downnation, hence the article. None of this was instigated by carter as a PR move, just a nice gesture to a young fan, whose cancer angle gets played up by the media in their feel good story. To suggest that he is burnishing his own ego by manipulating a cancer survivor is a pretty loathsome comment to make.
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Your CFL Haiku of the Game
Week 6 haikus: Don't beat the traffic. This year CFL stands for Crazy Football League! Wpg. v. Mtl. - Blue's winning game plan: Keep the defence off the field With great onside kicks Edm. v. BC- Who needs Sominex? Another coach's challenge Will put me to sleep. Sask. v. Tor.- Fans aren't the only Nauseating thing in Sask. Add Duron's sick catch. Cal. v. Ham. - PETA cries cruelty over Stamps abuse of 'Cats and touchdown horse run.
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Lock of the Week 6
I believe I should be out with 5 strikes (I don't think the 2-point convert would count, so my Madu pick would have earned me 2 strikes) but until you kick me out officially I will take Messam.
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Lock of the Week 5
And just to rub salt in my wound, Madu doesn't play as a starter in either game and doesn't see the ball until a late 2 point convert, which counts for SFA even though it's akin to scoring a TD, just 4 points fewer.
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Lock of the Week 6
So a 2 point convert doesn't count for anything? Just as tough as getting a TD in some cases.
- Bombers @ Lions - Game Day gif Thread!
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Lock of the Week 5
Oops. totally missed that last sentence. And Powell is back from injury so Madu didn't even play. This contest sucks, the world is against me, I hate everyone!
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Looking Ahead: Winnipeg Vs BC
- Lock of the Week 5
But even if you don't get a score in both games, you still get two chances with a RedBlack player compared to one with any other player. It's actually twice the advantage (two cracks at no strike PLUS the chance to get a strike removed). I was hoping for the chance to pick two separate players if they weren't RedBlacks vs. one RedBlack player for both games. Anyway, given the offer, I will avoid my original Messam pick and take Madu.- Lock of the Week 4
Well that sucks.- GDT: Toronto @ Winnipeg
So here's my dilemma for picking this game. Ray seems to have re-discovered the magic he had 3 years or so ago, and he has lit up the Bombers so many times in the past I can't count. SJ Green will be going up against Carmichael according to the pre-game reports - is there a bigger mis-match on paper right now in the entire league for receiver/DB match-ups? Richie Hall's defence is "rush 3 or 4, almost no blitzes, give the other team short stuff and let them dink and dunk until they mess up" rather than "pressure but risk the big play". Is there a better QB at taking advantage of the conservative defence in the last 15 years in the CFL than Ricky Ray? And add Mark Trestman to that equation, and that's a scary game plan we may have going on tonight. And the Argo receiving injury is offset by the absence of Wild and Okpalaugo. Hurl and Knox at LB does not give me the warm fuzzies. Am I wrong to think that their offense is set up really well against our defence tonight? And if we need to rely on turnovers to win like all of last year, Ray is pretty good at protecting things. Now I think Nicholls and our weapons can match Ray offensively, but that front 7 of Toronto looked pretty awesome against Hamilton (really impressive stunts and schemes by their coaches), and we saw what a pressured Nicholls did last week against Calgary (and for half the game against Sask), so how our o-line dictates the play seems to be the key to everything, especially getting as big run game from Harris to burn the clock. And do we need to see a 7/7 field goal game from Medlock to win? So my analysis is lots of doom and gloom from a match-ups perspective - here's the big question: How much will a very short week hurt Toronto? Play Saturday on the road, probably weren't home until early Sunday morning, day off Sunday, Monday film day, doubtful they practiced much if at all, Tuesday practice, Wednesday travel to Winnipeg per league mandate to get in 24 hours in advance, limited practice I'd speculate, game day Thursday which allows for walk through only. So unless I'm way off on a weekly football schedule, maybe only one real practice day to prep. No? So despite there being no real home advantage here (seriously, 11-26 since this place opened?), is the short week the great equalizer that cancels out all the other factors? Help me out here, trying to decide my pick for the CFL pool I'm in, and this is what I have for the breakdown. What am I missing, overestimating, or underestimating? Would prefer hard logical analysis, not blatant homerism or "sky is falling" negativity without some basis for your takes. thanks.- Lock of the Week 4
Just heard that Roc Carmichael will be covering SJ Green tonight. So changing my pick to SJ Green.- Lock of the Week 4
10 receptions, 167 yards, 37 points against that lousy D, and still a strike for picking Roosevelt against the Tabbies. But I'm a glutton for punishment, so I'll ride the Ticat train until I'm out. Jeremiah Johnson.- What happend to the Cannon?
- Lock of the Week 3
Namaan Roosevelt, SASK.- Convert Percentages
But by that exact same logic, a team that goes 3/3 and wins by 2 points will say that going for it was the difference between winning and losing. The incorrect assumption is that the single point is automatic, when it no longer is (1 in 10 will miss), and you are giving away points by not taking the sure 1. Look at BC-Edmonton last week. Lions missed two 1 point converts and lost the game by 3. had they gone for 2 and made both (the stats say they have a better chance than not of getting them both) that's 4 extra points and they win the game instead of losing. So your "reality" argument cuts both ways. The numbers suggest that the reward would outweigh the risk over the long term, and that the "reality" is that more teams will benefit and win close games by going for it where the stats indicate a better than 50/50 chance of success than will lose games by taking that risk. Now I'll easily concede that situational dynamics overrules everything, the point simply is that it isn't the overwhelming losing proposition some might believe it to be, and the single isn't the gimme it used to be. (NOTE: Justin Medlock does not approve this message). That's the whole point of the rule change.- Convert Percentages
Last year the success rate on one point converts was 91%. The two point convert was tried a total of 85 times, with 53 of them being successful, a 62.35% success rate. No team was worse than 50% (Wpg, Sask and Tor all went 2 for 4). Hamilton was the best at it, going 9 for 10. So even if the 1 point convert was 100% successful, it would make more sense to go for 2 every time, because statistically, you will score more points overall as long as the 2 point success rate stays above 50%. - Lock of the Week 5